• Projected spending by size indicates a stark dominance of TEX-Size projects, expected to total approximately $10.89 billion over the upcoming forecast period, while Small and Medium tiers contribute notably less at $9.26 billion and $5.77 billion, respectively.

• Spending patterns across districts show a clear concentration in Houston, which has pulled ahead as a consistent leader with projected annual allocations approaching $712.9 million, contrasting with the declining trends observed in Dallas.

• The overall landscape presents a mix of volatility and steady run-rate patterns; while Houston’s consistent growth signals a reliable trajectory, districts like San Antonio reflect downward shifts that introduce variability in the projections.

Projected spending over the next period exhibits a notable increase from historical averages, particularly in FY 2029, where allocations are expected to reach around $3.04 billion. This represents a substantial uptick compared to spending patterns observed over the past 12 quarters, which have historically hovered around $1.67 billion, illustrating a trend of robust growth ahead.

The distribution of projected spending reveals a pronounced emphasis on TEX-Size initiatives, which are anticipated to contribute approximately $10.89 billion over the forecast period from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. In contrast, Small and Medium tiers exhibit lesser figures, with projections of $9.26 billion and $5.77 billion, respectively, suggesting TEX-Size projects will drive a significant portion of future spending.

• Houston demonstrates a strong leadership stance in projected spending, showcasing a rolling average nearing $712.9 million amid significant TEX-Size undertakings.

• Austin is poised for impressive growth in upcoming quarters, particularly driven by its robust TEX-Size contributions, in stark contrast to declining figures in Dallas.

• San Antonio faces declining projections, yet it retains a steady cadence in smaller projects, while Beaumont reflects substantial mixed-tier spending.

• Fort Worth exhibits consistent growth trajectory, buoyed by a blend of Medium and Large tier investments.

Abilene's spending reflects a gradual decline in forecasted resources, with a rolling average peaking at $58.5 million in FY 2027 Q1 and dipping to $28.0 million by FY 2029 Q4. The tier distribution indicates a focus solely on Small projects totaling $336.2 million from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. In terms of actual spending, Abilene reached a peak of $44.1 million in FY 2029 Q3, while its figures fell to a low of $16.4 million in FY 2029 Q4. This shows a pattern of volatility, highlighting the district's reliance on a limited number of jobs, notably 255 Small-tier projects during the forecast window.

Amarillo's forecast showcases a strong allocation of resources across various tiers, highlighted by a peak rolling average of $91.0 million in FY 2027 Q1, with a subsequent decline to $44.9 million by FY 2029 Q4. The tier mix reveals diversified engagement, particularly through Small and Medium projects totaling $539.3 million from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. Evaluating the actual counts, Amarillo's peak spending reached $224.6 million in FY 2027 Q3, while it faced a low of $4.1 million in FY 2028 Q4. This indicates a fluctuating landscape, where a significant volume of jobs, including 155 Small-tier jobs, contributes to the overall spend in a highly concentrated model.

Atlanta's expenditure pattern shows a step-up trajectory with a rolling average peaking at $61.1 million in FY 2029 Q2, decreasing to $27.6 million by FY 2027 Q4. The anticipated tier allocations are well-rounded, featuring contributions from Small, Medium, Large, and TEX-Size projects totaling $671.4 million from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. In terms of actual counts, FY 2029 Q1 saw a notable peak at $382.6 million, but the spending dipped to a mere $3.5 million in FY 2028 Q4. This indicates a varied but focused market approach, with 233 Small-tier jobs harmonizing the projected investment.

Austin is projected to register a significant uptick in spending, as indicated by a steady rolling average around $346.4 million, primarily driven by TEX-Size projects. This reflects a strong commitment to elevated investment in infrastructure, positioning the district for continued growth amid a mixed-tier environment. Regarding actual expenditure, Austin observed a remarkable peak of $1.64 billion in FY 2029 Q2, notably fluctuating to just $24.4 million in FY 2029 Q3. The uptick is supported by a diverse job mix, with 252 Small jobs in the forecast window, which indicates an area of strength for the district's ongoing projects.

Beaumont reflects a diverse engagement across multiple tiers, with its rolling average peaking at $102.8 million in FY 2029 Q2, contrasted with a low of $32.9 million in FY 2027 Q4. The breakdown indicates a balanced approach, with Small, Medium, and Large projects totaling $1.02 billion from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. Actual figures show a substantial peak of $542.4 million in FY 2028 Q1, while spending dwindled to just $4.9 million by FY 2029 Q4. This narrative suggests a fluctuating market, driven largely by substantial job counts across 168 Small and 9 Medium projects.

Brownwood's projected spending reflects a delicate balance with its rolling average peaking at $30.1 million in FY 2028 Q4, and momentarily dipping to $17.7 million in FY 2028 Q1, indicating some turbulence in the forecast. The tier allocation shows a strong commitment to Small and Large projects totaling $289.1 million from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. In actual monetary terms, Brownwood peaked at $133.0 million in FY 2028 Q4, while it experienced a low of $3.7 million in FY 2027 Q3. The relative fluctuations suggest a reliance on select high-value projects while being bolstered by 201 Small job counts.

Bryan demonstrates a remarkably steady forecast with a rolling average reaching a peak of $145.9 million in FY 2028 Q2, with a modest drop to $93.8 million by FY 2028 Q3. The district is characterized by a broad tier engagement, with spending projected across Small, Medium, Large, and TEX-Size projects totaling over $1.5 billion from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. In terms of actual spending, Bryan's peak hit $347.1 million in FY 2028 Q2 while tapering down to $5.8 million in FY 2029 Q4. This underscores the reliance on a diverse array of projects with 353 Small and 4 Large jobs enhancing the district's overall throughput.

Childress exhibits modest engagement in projected spending, with a rolling average peaking at $23.5 million in FY 2027 Q1 and lightly dipping to $12.1 million by FY 2029 Q4. The tier mix is notably modest, primarily consisting of Small projects totaling $126.2 million from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. Turning to actual expenditure, Childress peaked at $25.2 million in FY 2028 Q1, with a low of just $3.2 million noted in FY 2027 Q3. This reflects a volatile landscape primarily shaped by a limited count of 86 Small jobs, reinforcing the district's reliance on smaller project engagements.

Corpus Christi's forecast displays a smooth spend pattern with a peak rolling total of $85.4 million in FY 2027 Q2, reflecting a reliance on Large projects. The tier mix shows a significant emphasis on Large projects, which account for $384.4 million over the forecast period from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4, indicating a focused approach in larger-scale work. In terms of actual spending, the district reached a high of $162.5 million in FY 2027 Q2, followed by a drop to $15.9 million in FY 2029 Q3. This fluctuation indicates a dependence on a handful of significant projects, with a total of 209 Small jobs contrasting sharply with heavier investments in Large tiers.

Dallas displays a mixed trajectory, characterized by rolling averages peaking at $399.4 million in FY 2027 Q1, before experiencing a notable decline. The tier mix is diverse, with $1.08 billion in TEX-Size projects contributing heavily to the overall forecast from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4, suggesting a potential recalibration of strategy towards larger endeavors. In terms of actual spending, the district achieved a local high-water mark of $1.22 billion in FY 2029 Q1, although it faces a significant dip to $22.6 million in FY 2029 Q3. This volatility highlights a concentration in fewer larger projects, with a robust job count of 340 across Small tiers as well, reflecting a dual-pronged focus on scale and volume.

El Paso demonstrates a steady elevation in spending patterns, peaking at $99.7 million in FY 2028 Q2. The project distribution indicates a strong focus on TEX-Size projects, contributing significantly to the $486.1 million total across the forecast from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4, showcasing a capacity for larger initiatives. Looking at actual counts, El Paso achieved a notable total of $570.4 million in FY 2028 Q2, while dropping to just $495,000 in FY 2029 Q4. The total of 149 Small and 8 Medium jobs reported illustrates a steady throughput, emphasizing the district's ability to handle ongoing smaller projects alongside its larger commitments.

Fort Worth's forecast illustrates strong performance, marked by a peak rolling average of $166.3 million in FY 2029 Q4, reflecting an upward trend in spending. The tier distribution showcases a balanced approach with $536.5 million from Large projects and $561 million attributed to TEX-Size efforts over the forecast period stretching from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4. Regarding actual figures, Fort Worth reached a peak of $614.2 million in FY 2029 Q4, while dipping to $14.3 million in FY 2029 Q3. This notable fluctuation indicates project variability, supported by 270 Small jobs that highlight a capacity for diverse project handling within the market.

Houston showcases a remarkable performance with a rolling peak of $712.9 million in FY 2029 Q3, indicating a strong upward trajectory. This success is driven primarily by TEX-Size projects, which amassed $2.59 billion from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4, demonstrating a dominant focus on larger scale operations. In terms of actual counts, the district surged to a high of $1.65 billion in FY 2028 Q1, but saw a decrease to $84.7 million in FY 2027 Q1. The breadth of job counts reveals a substantial capacity with 424 Small jobs, further showcasing Houston's reliance on both volume and large-scale projects.

Laredo maintains a steady baseline in projected spending, with rolling averages showing a local high of $88.5 million in FY 2027 Q2. The tier mix illustrates a solid commitment with $182.4 million dedicated to Small projects, spanning the forecast period from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4, suggesting a consistent engagement in smaller initiatives. In terms of actual figures, Laredo reached a peak of $149 million in FY 2029 Q1, while experiencing a drop to just $3.6 million in FY 2028 Q3. The total of 114 Small jobs reflects a focus on maintaining volume, contrasting sharply against the fluctuations observed in larger project commitments.

Lubbock's projected spending reflects a stable run-rate with rolling averages peaking at $66 million in FY 2027 Q1, indicating consistent activity levels. The tier composition highlights $126.9 million in Small projects over the forecast from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4, pointing towards a predominantly Smaller project focus. Regarding actual spending, Lubbock recorded a high of $204.9 million in FY 2029 Q1, then declined to $949,000 in FY 2027 Q3. The 181 Small jobs reported establish a clear alignment of project engagement, serving as a reliable foundation for ongoing activity despite lower peak values.

Lufkin's forecast trajectory exhibits a steady yet modest approach, characterized by a peak rolling total of $34.8 million in FY 2028 Q1. The forecast reflects a focus on Small projects, which account for $216.6 million from FY 2027 Q1 through FY 2029 Q4, indicating a consistent engagement with community-sized initiatives. In actual terms, Lufkin's spending peaked at $58.1 million in FY 2028 Q1, but saw a notable drop to $494,000 in FY 2027 Q2. The 152 Small jobs indicate a significant reliance on smaller projects, encapsulating Lufkin's approach to sustained local infrastructure work.

Odessa's projected spending exhibits notable fluctuations, with a peak rolling average of $108.9 million in FY 2029 Q2, highlighting a market influenced by significant TEX-Size projects. The overall tier mix reveals substantial engagement in Medium and Small tiers, reflecting a diverse focus in project types. In terms of actual spending, Odessa reached a high of $472.6 million in FY 2029 Q2 but faced a stark drop to just $1.0 million in FY 2027 Q4. This pattern of volatility entails a reliance on larger projects for raw dollar value while managing a higher job count of 196 within the Small tier, indicating a mixed engagement throughout the forecast period.

Paris showcases sustained activity within the Large tier, with a rolling average peaking at $108.0 million in FY 2029 Q1, signaling a strong presence in larger project awards. The district’s forecast reveals a mix heavily skewed towards Large contracts, indicating a focused market strategy driving its projected growth. Looking at actual counts, Paris achieved a peak of $361.2 million in FY 2028 Q3 but tapered off dramatically to a mere $874K by FY 2029 Q4. With 195 jobs primarily sourced from Small contracts, the district reflects a robust medium-scale operation, relying on fewer high-value projects that underline its market position.

Pharr's forecast exhibits a striking blend of tiers, evident in its rolling peak of $147.8 million in FY 2027 Q1, driven by a mix of spending across Small and Medium projects. This reinforces a diverse approach to project financing with TEX-Size commitments complementing other contract types. In terms of actual spending, Pharr soared to $337.2 million in FY 2029 Q1, showing a robust activity level that dipped to $12.1 million in FY 2028 Q4. With 272 jobs registered primarily within the Small tier, this indicates an ongoing commitment to maintaining a broad employment base while navigating fluctuating funding levels.

San Angelo's spending reflects episodic growth, with rolling averages reaching a high point of $41.5 million in FY 2029 Q3 amidst a generally stable trajectory. This suggests a balanced focus on Medium and Small tier projects that collectively drive consistent infrastructures forward. Actual counts reveal that San Angelo peaked at $117.6 million in FY 2028 Q2 but struggled with a low of $8.1 million in FY 2027 Q4. The district recorded 168 jobs primarily from Small projects, signifying a strong base of lower-tier jobs that help stabilize the market despite larger swings in spending.

San Antonio exhibits vibrant activity characterized by peaks and valleys, with a rolling high of $243.3 million in FY 2029 Q1. The robust engagement across all tiers, particularly within the TEX-Size category, highlights the area’s capability to attract significant investment during peak periods. In terms of actual counts, the district experienced a substantial peak of $697.2 million in FY 2029 Q1, but this figure sharply contrasts with a low of just $685K in FY 2027 Q4. With 326 jobs primarily attributable to Small and Medium tiers, this reflects a strategic balancing of project types that fosters a more sustainable economic environment.

Tyler's projected spending reveals a moderate growth pattern, peaking at $83.8 million in FY 2028 Q3, illustrating a reliance on multiple tiers for overall stability. This suggests a carefully cultivated project environment designed to maintain consistent support across Small to Large tiers. When evaluating actual spending, Tyler reached its highest in FY 2029 Q4 with $174.4 million, contrasted by a dip to $9.9 million in FY 2029 Q3. Job counts remain healthy, with 202 primarily in the Small tier, emphasizing a balanced approach that combines higher project values with sustained job creation across the board.

Waco experiences a dynamic landscape with significant fluctuations, peaking at a notable $115.3 million in FY 2029 Q2, driven largely by TEX-Size projects that maintain its elevated trajectory. The tier mix showcases a strong commitment to larger contracts, indicating an aggressive expansion approach. Looking at actual counts, Waco peaked impressively at $842.9 million in FY 2029 Q1, whilst seeing a slump down to $10.1 million in FY 2028 Q3. With 249 jobs mostly sourced from Small projects, this illustrates a unique relationship where smaller job counts contribute to higher overall investment, fostering robust local engagement.

Wichita Falls displays stability with a rising trend, hitting a rolling peak of $84.4 million in FY 2027 Q2, bolstered by consistent engagement across Large-tier projects. This reflects a balanced investment strategy that effectively utilizes available funding streams. In terms of actual spending, the district reached a high of $320.0 million in FY 2027 Q2, alongside a low of $2.4 million noted in FY 2027 Q3. With a focus on 165 jobs mainly in the Small tier, this indicates a well-rounded approach, where larger projects enrich the job market while maintaining a steady steady pace in overall funding activities.

Yoakum's financial landscape reveals episodic spikes with a rolling peak at $141.4 million in FY 2027 Q1, reinforcing the district's mixed tier engagement, especially in TEX-Size projects. This suggests strategic investments align with market fluctuations, enabling adaptability to funding opportunities. When assessing actual counts, Yoakum achieved a remarkable peak of $267.0 million in FY 2027 Q1 but faced a decline to $3.3 million in FY 2028 Q4. The strong emphasis on Small and TEX-Size projects, alongside 251 jobs, conveys a commitment to community engagement while navigating broader market demands.